Odds for development of low in Caribbean increasing

A tropical disturbance in the west Caribbean may become a tropical depression or tropical storm this week. Should pose no Gulf Coast threat

"While the window for development is short, this area of downpours may still organize into a tropical depression or storm into Saturday", Kottlowski said.

It is expected to develop into a tropical storm tonight or Saturday.

The government of Cuba has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the Cuban provinces of Isla de la Juventud, La Habana, Ciudad de la Habana, Matanzas, Cienfuegos, and Villa Clara.

The disturbance is likely to produce locally heavy rains over portions of Central America and Cuba for the next couple of days. It's questionable how far north the heavier rain from Invest 93 will move before the front pushes all the tropical moisture out into the Atlantic.

Localized rainfall of 5-10 inches (128-250 mm) will raise the risk of flash flooding and mudslides on land areas in the northwestern Caribbean into Saturday.

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Rain and showers associated with a northern cold front are just the beginning of wet weather rolling over the Cayman Islands this weekend.

No warnings are issued now for the United States, but South Florida should monitor the storm, the NHC release said. Nearshore winds up to hurricane force are possible from New Jersey to Maine Sunday and Monday, with heavy rain and mountain snow spreading well inland from the Mid-Atlantic States to New England.

Update: 4:30 p.m.: Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 has been identified by the National Hurricane Center, which began issuing advisories at 5 p.m.

An approaching cold front front is expected to move into the Nature Coast north of Tampa Saturday evening and move south of Fort Myers overnight. These systems can threaten Florida, Cuba, the Bahamas and Bermuda, but can occasionally threaten areas closer to the U.S. East Coast, especially in October and early November.

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