Americans start voting in midterm verdict on Trump rule

Trump midterm campaign rally

Tuesday's vote followed Trump's tumultuous first two years in the White House, during which he cracked down on immigration, introduced massive tax cuts and employed increasingly polarising rhetoric.

But what if that doesn't happen? Democrats also leveraged their ActBlue online fundraising to collect over twice as much as Republicans in House and Senate races from small donors that give less than $200.

The Daily Beast has examined that "unthinkable" scenario in some depth.

Either way, election watchers who want to see which party wins control of Congress probably won't be going to bed early tonight.

"After all this work, all these volunteers, it would be absolutely shattering", Democratic strategist Paul Begala told the website.

You think we're letting that caravan come into this country?

Republicans automatically retain control of at least 42 of their Senate seats that are not up for election this year, so it will be hard but not impossible, for Democrats to win the majority.

The predictive model at FiveThirtyEight now projects an 88 per cent chance of them winning the seats required.

On the eve of the mid-term elections, Democrats continue to hold a double-digit lead over Republicans in a generic congressional ballot among likely voters, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS.

Trump doesn't think much of that poll. So to the extent that the polls were wrong in 2016, polling models have been corrected.

There are around 250 million Americans who are eligible to vote, but turnout in midterm elections is typically about 40%.

What are the midterm elections?

Meghan Markle Reminds The World That 'Feminism Is About Fairness'
Harry referred to the upcoming royal as "our little bump", prompting smiles and a resounding "awwww" heard around the world. The Prince also offered the doting grandmother words of support, too, telling her: "You're doing a great job, Nan", he said.

Donald Trump would like to believe it's all about him.

Winning control of the House would allow the Democrats to block Republican policies, launch investigations into Trump's administration and instigate impeachment proceedings.

Iva Woke (C), a 100-year-old resident living in Chestertown, Maryland, is helped to the voting booth at the Kent County Public Library to vote in Maryland's early voting on October 25, 2018. 3% of likely voters said they would choose another candidate while 6% were undecided.

With that in mind, unusually high voter turnout could be a good sign for them. But the marquee event in this hour is the West Virginia Senate race, where incumbent Democrat Joe Manchin, who voted in favor of confirming Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, is expected to hold on.

What if their nightmare comes true again?

The Democrats went through a mild identity crisis in 2016, as Clinton struggled to hold off a surprisingly stubborn challenge from left-wing Senator Bernie Sanders in the fight for the party's presidential nomination. Democrats lead among women, younger voters, and black voters.

But numerous key Senate battlegrounds are conservative states, like Missouri and Montana, where Trump excelled in 2016 and remains popular.

But mid-morning he tweeted to knock down what he said were rumors that Republican Senate candidate Josh Hawley left the arena in Cape Girardeau, Mo., where Trump held a rally to support him.

Trump, however, has seized this allegedly unconnected-to-the-elections caravan in his inimitable style.

He said that many people are making the midterms all about President Trump, but in these elections - like many midterms - "politics is local". A Democratic failure would be cataclysmic for the Resist movement.

Barack Obama - on the campaign trail for the Democratic party - said "the character of our country is on the ballot". Among them a record number of women and non-white candidates, but also many military veterans.

For example, Ezra Klein, "the former wunderkind at the Washington Post, now a [t] Axios or somewhere, actually said - and I've never seen this". Democratic Sen. Jon Tester is a slight favorite in a state Trump won by 20 points. But Trump appears to have put his finger on a very contentious spot in the American mind-space: people are anxious that the liberalism of the Democrats may work completely against the interests of those already living in the country.

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